Democratic strategist David Axelrod wrote on social media after President Biden’s Thursday night press conference that his odds of winning the presidential race this fall are “very very slim.”
Axelrod said Biden’s team “has not been very candid” with the president after Biden at the presser said no poll or person is telling him he cannot win in November.
Currently very true. He’s down in PA and he can’t win without them. Bad sign for the “son of Scranton”.
Michigan is a toss up, which he also HAS to win.
Down in Wisconsin. Minnesota is a toss up.
It’s not looking good right now.
Can he change it at the Democratic convention next month? Maybe. Even odds that something happens to make it worse though.
That’s not what models say. It’s pretty much 50/50. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
And all the fashion models I hang out with are saying the same things. The models agree.
And if it’s even slightly close, the SC hands it to the GOP.
Also, it should in no fucking way whatsoever be 50/50 , but here we are.
If it’s 50/50 in a national poll, Biden will lose by several states in the EC. No SCOTUS intervention required.
Fuck it is… I don’t like Biden, but my vote is anti-Trump so….
Minnesota is as much as a toss up as Alabama
You say that… buuuut…
Minnesota: Biden+2 to Trump+1, pretty much the definition of toss up.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/minnesota/
Alabama: Trump+19 but that was a couple of months ago.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/alabama/
2020 Trump won Alabama by 25.46 points.
Come visit rural Minnesota
Rural anywhere, really. All Trump, all the time.
If by very slim they mean functionally impossible, then yes I agree.
