I suppose I’m a left-of-center liberal who flirts w/ anarchism & libertarianism. Thr’s a lot of alt, electronic, exp’tal, & “world” music I like. I’m working on fan-fix-tion for The Handmaid’s Tale and Star Trek.

my avatar: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Miou-Miou_mit-Partner-5713.jpg

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Cake day: June 29th, 2023

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  • Before the debate, I wasn’t sure who’d win: Biden or Trump.

    Even Allen Lichtman was unsure.

    After the debate, I figure Biden will lose.

    I’m not saying it’s an absolute certainty—we have 4 months and many things could happen. If someone offered to bet me their $500 that Trump will win to my $100 on Biden winning, I’d take it.

    If Biden is replaced, I think he’d be more likely to lose.

    If he was elected, Biden needn’t serve all 4 years: he could resign a few months later, make Harris President, and AOC, Sanders, Newsom, whatever, as VP.

    As I think Biden will lose, one might want to vote their hearts.

    Keep in mind, it might be dependent on states.

    wp:2020 United States presidential election#Results by state

    If 2.5 million Californians who voted for Biden instead voted for RJK Jr, Stein, and West in 2024, Biden (or his replacement) would still probably win all 55 Electoral College votes of that state.

    If the 5 million Texans who voted for Biden, also, instead voted RJK Jr, Stein, and West in 2024, Biden would lose no more Electoral College votes.







  • Trump is (or was) a billionaire, a TV celebrity, who shat on his GOP rivals during the 2016 primaries and was content enough to threaten to run as an independent and allow Clinton to win if he wasn’t nominated. That he regarded politicians from both parties with contempt was part of the attraction.

    If Canada can’t elect a female PM or have a Liberal (or NDP) female PM, what makes you think that the US will elect a woman as President?

    While a lot would like her more leftist positions—she might have to reiterate that the US should stop funding Israel and that what’s happening in Gaza is a genocide, and her view on a 100% tariff on EVs—the GOP and party centrists would have a field day.

    But yeah, it might be a good thing.