Biden being replaced by a progressive like AOC or Sanders isn’t even remotely likely though, which is why I didn’t mention all of the people who won’t vote if they’re not motivated to who’d come out for someone like AOC/Sanders/Warren/etc. And replace him with a “moderate” who didn’t support Israel, and you’d get a lot more votes from people who are alienated by that issue.
Biden was only about 2.8% of the vote from winning Texas in 2020. 2024 Biden certainly isn’t going to do better than 2020 Biden, but another candidate probably could…