• 24 Posts
  • 25 Comments
Joined 11 months ago
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Cake day: December 26th, 2023

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  • Isn’t their government currently illegitimate because they refused to hold elections?

    Fact is, if Russia wanted to overthrow Zelensky they would’ve done it by now. The problem isn’t Zelensky, but the entire notion of Ukrainian independence from Russia. Until Russia can comprehensively beat that idea out of the Ukrainian ethos, this war will not end.

    See also: US-Cuba, China-Taiwan, and historically US-South America under the Monroe Doctrine.

    Note that this idea isn’t about domestic sovereignty insomuch as it is about who your allies can be. If Ukraine were independent but in CSTO or even in BRICS, there would be no issues. Similarly, if Cuba were to be a US ally instead, sanctions would be dropped and it would be welcomed with open arms.





























  • I thought that the Philippines were explicitly denied the Spratly Islands in their treaty for independence with the US because the Philippines did not hold sovereignty over the Spratlys when they were a Spanish colony? I can understand China and Vietnam’s conflicting claims, but the Philippines sounds like they’re ignoring the first rule of UNCLOS: UNCLOS does not resolve issues of sovereignty and does not supercede existing sovereignty claims.

    The Filipino claim on the Spratlys is completely nonsensical. By the same argument, Kinmen should also be Chinese. It’s stupid, insane, and just an opportunity to deflect from the very real territorial dispute between China/Taiwan and Vietnam.






  • This is either a state actor operating under a fake name or it deserves to be one.

    The perpetrator, “Jia Tan,” let’s assume has last name 陈. In Mandarin, this is pronounced as Chen, in Hong Kong as Chan, while in Minnan this is pronounced as Tan. Minnan is prevalent in Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, and other southeast Asian countries as well as in parts of Fujian, China (where it originated).

    A common feature of early Chinese expat communities was that they were overwhelmingly from Guangdong (think Gold Rush era). However, more recently, there’s been a massive wave of Taiwan and Hong Kong emigration… The relevant takeaway here is that Tan is much more common of a pronunciation in expat communities than it is in China.

    Of course, they could also have the last name 谭, but that’s a good bit rarer. 陈 is the most common Chinese surname overseas and the 5th most common in China, while 谭 is something like 54th most common in China. Odds are high that, if this was a persona constructed by a state actor, it did not come from China but from an overseas actor for which Tan is a more common romanization.