“Nobody has seen” just about anything about this election. I want off this fucking ride, man.

Ok, so in the past two weeks alone, we’ve seen:

• Biden completely collapse at a debate that he himself issued the challenge for, essentially scoring not one but two potentially fatal own goals at once, giving the RNC enough ammo to fuel months of attack ads while subsequently doing little to nothing to convince his own party he has a realistic chance to win now.

• the Supreme Court enact significant power grabs for both the President and themselves by saying that Presidents are absolutely immune when committing official acts or anything even related to an official act, essentially saying that an “official act” is anything they say it is, while also implying that an official act is basically whatever the President says it is until they say otherwise.

• One of Trump’s four cases dismissed, with the other three essentially on life support at best due to the above ruling, essentially allowing Trump to walk away scot-free.

• Trump survive an assassination attempt, giving legitimacy to the conspiracy theories that fuel his campaign and allowing him to exponentially ratchet up his attacks on Democrats, knowing that Democrats are on the defensive and cannot really defend themselves without playing right into Trump’s hands and giving the appearance that they supported the attempt.

• Trump not only survive the assassination attempt, but come out of it with a series of pictures that, objectively speaking, are so defiant and patriotic in the face of a real-time assassination attempt that those pictures alone would carry any other candidate to victory in a landslide. Seriously. Defiant look, fist pump in the air, blood splashed against one side of his face, perfect sky, American flag in the background. If you can’t get elected after that, your entire campaign staff should be fired, sued for neglegence, and be declared legally stupid.

And he’s carrying all that momentum and more into the RNC. At this point, this is really Trump’s election to lose. And none of this even counts all the GOP thumbs that are going to be on that scale in November.

If you think the first term was bad…

Will they talk about the children that trump raped? Will his running mate also be a child rapist? Why is he running for president for a country he is trying to destroy?

More on J.D. Vance, the VP pick:

https://www.vox.com/politics/360283/jd-vance-trump-vp-vice-president-authoritarian

I posted this over on the site that shall not be named, but the WH GiftShop sent an email at 2:06 saying the VP pick is JD Vance:

https://imgur.com/a/mECSMEc

https://www.whitehousegiftshop.com/product-p/jd-vance.htm

Bets on Trumps post convention/ Post ass. bump?

Biden and Harris both saw a 6 point bump post conv in 2020. Trumps polling that cycle stayed about the same (his approval then was about the same as Bidens current approval, in the 30s).

Another big one was Gore’s 2000’ bounce. 16 points.

Then of course there is the famous Clinton bounce of upwards of 30 points.

Of course we also have to consider the layer in the current news. Reagan, after the assassination attempt, saw a 20 point bump in approval, which was fairly sustained, for almost 3 months.

Its not unrealistic to think that Trump might walk out of this week into a 15-20, maybe even 25 point bump in approval/ polling after this week. Prior to this weekend, the entire was one of appealing to independents, undecideds, less likely to vote.

Watching Trump come out at the convention, he literally looks like a changed man. Humbled. Maybe a little bit sad. It’s an impressive change, it will be interesting to see if it carries over to his policies.